MX23RW : Sunday, May 12 18:33:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
Atlanta United
Austin FC
Montreal Impact
Charlotte FC
Chicago Fire
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
Inter Miami
Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
Minnesota United
Nashville
New England Revolution
New York City
New York Red Bulls
Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
Portland Timbers
Real Salt Lake
San Jose Earthquakes
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas
St Louis City
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Oct 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York City

Atlanta
1 - 2
NY City

Gutman (67')
Araujo (45+6'), Almada (64'), Sanchez (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pereira (9'), Heber (60')
Callens (10'), Rodriguez (72'), Johnson (83'), Tinnerholm (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New England 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 1 at 6.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY City 2-1 Orlando City
Sunday, October 2 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 New York City FC

Although Atlanta are a strong proposition at home, they have little to play for in their final game, whereas New York City have the motivation of finishing above their local rivals. Recent form and the fact that the away side will still be on a high following recent cup glory just gives them the edge here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
48.88% (-0.143 -0.14) 23.28% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.83% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.06% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97% (0.093000000000004 0.09)41.02% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58% (0.094000000000001 0.09)63.41% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)16.98% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)47.09% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35% (0.14700000000001 0.15)27.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.8% (0.187 0.19)63.19% (-0.186 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 48.88%
    New York City FC 27.83%
    Draw 23.28%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York City FC
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.33% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.002 0)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 48.88%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.018 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.28%
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.88% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.018 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY City

Atlanta United
37.5%
Draw
0.0%
New York City FC
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2022 10pm
NY City
2-2
Atlanta
Castellanos (37', 58')
Chanot (18'), Rodriguez (24'), Magno (53'), Morales (71')
Martinez (56'), Dwyer (86')
McFadden (16'), Araujo (47')
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
NY City
2-0
Atlanta
Castellanos (49'), Callens (53')

Franco (43'), Moreno (81')
Franco (90+3')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Atlanta
1-1
NY City
Moreno (17')
Franco (60'), Robinson (85')
Thorarinsson (90')
Moralez (24'), Sands (90+4')
Jun 24, 2021 12.30am
NY City
1-0
Atlanta
Tajouri (69')

Sosa (12'), Barco (45'), Lopez (55')
Aug 1, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!