Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.88% ( -0.14) | 23.28% ( 0) | 27.83% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.97% ( 0.09) | 41.02% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.58% ( 0.09) | 63.41% ( -0.09) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.9% ( -0.03) | 47.09% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( 0.15) | 27.65% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.8% ( 0.19) | 63.19% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 4.1% Total : 48.88% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 27.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 24 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
5 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 17 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 17 |
8 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 14 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 12 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 22 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 17 |
8 | St Louis City | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 16 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 16 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 11 |
11 | Dallas | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 10 |