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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Sep 4, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Atlanta United

Portland
2 - 1
Atlanta

Moreno (38' pen.), Asprilla (82' pen.)
Asprilla (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martinez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Atlanta United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Thursday, September 1 at 3.51am in Major League Soccer

Atlanta United

Last Six:
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 1 at 12am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-0 Atlanta United

 Portland Timbers have got a lot more to play for in this particular game when it comes to what the points could mean, and that should be enough to motivate them to a victory. The hosts have the stronger of the two squads, and their form throughout the season would suggest they are capable of defeating Atlanta United comfortably. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.35%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawAtlanta United
49.35% (-0.119 -0.12) 23.2% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.45% (0.139 0.14)
Both teams to score 60.04% (0.192 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.09% (0.199 0.2)40.91% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.7% (0.204 0.2)63.3% (-0.203 -0.2)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (0.031000000000006 0.03)16.77% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (0.053999999999995 0.05)46.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.20399999999999 0.2)27.86% (-0.204 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.53% (0.259 0.26)63.47% (-0.25899999999999 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 49.35%
    Atlanta United 27.45%
    Draw 23.2%
Portland TimbersDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.45% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.35%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 6.81% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 27.45%

How you voted: Portland vs Atlanta

Portland Timbers
84.6%
Draw
11.5%
Atlanta United
3.8%
26
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2020 11.30pm
Atlanta
P-P
Portland
Aug 19, 2019 3am
Portland
0-2
Atlanta

Moreira (42')
Gonzalez (14'), Martinez (46')
Larentowicz (24'), Pogba (33'), Barco (45')
Dec 9, 2018 1am
Atlanta
2-0
Portland
Martinez (39'), Escobar (54')
McCann (94')

Chara (80')
Jun 24, 2018 9.30pm
Atlanta
1-1
Portland
Gressel (56')
Escobar (32')
Mabiala (32')
Chara (24'), Mabiala (44')
May 14, 2017 9pm
Portland
1-1
Atlanta
Ridgewell (50')
Guzman (54'), Andriuskevicius (73'), Miller (84')
Gressel (46')
Parkhurst (28'), Carmona (36')
rhs 2.0
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1383235201527
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati127321510524
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125522018220
4Toronto126151617-119
5DC United124531919017
6New York City FCNY City125251414017
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC125251313017
8Columbus Crew113621311215
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia113532119214
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta113351614212
11Orlando City113351420-612
12CF MontrealMontreal113351523-812
13Nashville SCNashville112541419-511
14Chicago Fire122461222-1010
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake126422011922
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd106221711620
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy125522319420
4Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver115331813518
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125342219318
6Colorado RapidsColorado125342018218
7Houston DynamoHouston115241111017
8St Louis City113711815316
9Austin FCAustin124441515016
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
11Dallas113261216-411
12Seattle SoundersSeattle112451313010
13Portland TimbersPortland112452023-310
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes123182028-810
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