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Major League Soccer
DC United
Major League Soccer
Aug 21, 2022 at 12.30am UK
RFK Stadium
Philadelphia Union

DC United
0 - 6
Philadelphia

FT(HT: 0-2)
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

DC United

Last Six:
Last Game: Los Angeles 1-0 DC United
Wednesday, August 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Philadelphia Union

Last Six:
Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Philadelphia
Thursday, August 18 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 1-3 Philadelphia Union

 Philadelphia Union have suffered a slump in recent weeks, losing two of their last three games since the start of August. However, next up is an opposing side who have managed just one win in their last 10 games. We predict a one-sided contest with Philadelphia coming away with a comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for DC United had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
33.27% (-0.413 -0.41) 25.83% (0.241 0.24) 40.9% (0.175 0.18)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.914 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.12% (-1.132 -1.13)49.88% (1.136 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.13% (-1.018 -1.02)71.87% (1.022 1.02)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.55% (-0.81 -0.81)28.45% (0.813 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78% (-1.031 -1.03)64.22% (1.034 1.03)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.88% (-0.41300000000001 -0.41)24.12% (0.416 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.57% (-0.591 -0.59)58.43% (0.594 0.59)
Score Analysis
    DC United 33.27%
    Philadelphia Union 40.9%
    Draw 25.83%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.311 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 9.76% (0.328 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.47% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 40.9%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
27.3%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
72.7%
11
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Philadelphia
7-0
DC United
Bedoya (9', 37'), Carranza (22', 25', 72'), Uhre (45+2', 59')

Birnbaum (36'), Odoi-Atsem (69')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
DC United
3-1
Philadelphia
Kamara (36' pen.), Reyna (49'), Abila (90+5')
Najar (55')
Birnbaum (22' og.)
Elliott (59')
Jul 18, 2021 12.30am
Philadelphia
2-1
DC United
Santos (11'), Przybylko (83')
Andres Martinez (22')
Rodrigo Asad (51' pen.)
Rodrigo Asad (27'), Alfaro (45+1'), Reyna (45+1')
May 24, 2021 12.15am
DC United
0-1
Philadelphia
Przybylko (45+1')
Andres Martinez (65'), Blake (90+5')
Oct 15, 2020 1am
DC United
2-2
Philadelphia
Pines (71'), Rodrigo Asad (75' pen.)
Canouse (60')
Fontana (49'), McKenzie (87')
Santos (42'), Fontana (54'), Bedoya (74'), Mbaizo (81')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321710730
2Inter MiamiInter Miami1585235201529
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532420423
4New York City FCNY City147251715223
5Toronto147161919022
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United144642023-318
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia133642221115
10Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
12Orlando City123451420-613
13CF MontrealMontreal133371629-1312
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England12228922-138

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City133731818016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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