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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Republic of Ireland national football team
Nations League | League B
Jun 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Ukraine national football team

Rep. Ireland
0 - 1
Ukraine


Cullen (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tsygankov (47')
Mykolenko (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Nations League clash between Republic of Ireland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Republic of Ireland

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Rep. Ireland vs. Scotland
Saturday, June 11 at 5pm in Nations League

Ukraine

Last Six:
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 0-1 Ukraine
Wednesday, June 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Next Game: Ukraine vs. Armenia
Saturday, June 11 at 2pm in Nations League

We said: Republic of Ireland 0-2 Ukraine

 Before the Armenia defeat, we would have fancied Republic of Ireland to collect at least a score draw against opponents who have taken on a high workload over the past week. However, even if Ukraine make changes, we still expect the visitors to claim all three points in Dublin, and in convincing fashion, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Republic of Ireland win with a probability of 36.19%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Republic of Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (11.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ukraine would win this match.

Result
Republic of IrelandDrawUkraine
36.19% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 28.25% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 35.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81% (-0.067 -0.07)59.19% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38% (-0.052 -0.05)79.62% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Republic of Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.22% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)67.56% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)31.62% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.98% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)68.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Republic of Ireland 36.19%
    Ukraine 35.55%
    Draw 28.25%
Republic of IrelandDrawUkraine
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69%
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 36.19%
1-1 @ 13.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.87% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 11.36% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.55%

How you voted: Rep. Ireland vs Ukraine

Republic of Ireland
23.5%
Draw
16.6%
Ukraine
59.9%
277
rhs 2.0
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