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Premier League | Gameweek 20
Jan 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Leeds logo

Aston Villa
2 - 1
Leeds

Bailey (3'), Buendia (64')
Kamara (63'), Martinez (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bamford (83')
Koch (33'), Meslier (89')

The Match

Match Report

Leon Bailey and Emiliano Buendia score the goals as Aston Villa record a 2-1 victory over Leeds United in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.

Result
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
47.71% (0.125 0.13) 24.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 27.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 54.77% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.11% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)47.89% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.93% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)70.07% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)20.12% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61% (0.031999999999996 0.03)52.39% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (-0.137 -0.14)31.43% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (-0.16 -0.16)67.81% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.71%
    Leeds United 27.52%
    Draw 24.76%
Aston VillaDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 47.71%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.76%
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.79% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 27.52%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Leeds

Aston Villa
63.7%
Draw
19.9%
Leeds United
16.4%
317
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 4.30pm
Jul 17, 2022 5.35am
Aston Villa
1-0
Leeds
Ings (63' pen.)
McGinn (70')

Gray (67')
Mar 10, 2022 7.45pm
Leeds
0-3
Aston Villa

Koch (45+1'), Gelhardt (67'), Firpo (81'), James (86'), Raphinha (90+2')
Coutinho (22'), Cash (65'), Chambers (73')
Watkins (17'), Mings (47'), Luiz (62')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Aston Villa
3-3
Leeds
Coutinho (30'), Ramsey (38', 43')
Konsa (70'), Cash (90')
Konsa (87')
James (9', 45+2'), Llorente (63')
Dallas (45'), James (80'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City97202091123
2Liverpool97111751222
3Arsenal95311710718
4Aston Villa95311611518
5Chelsea95221911817
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94411612416
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9441117416
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
9Brentford94141818013
10Fulham93331212012
11Bournemouth93331111012
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9333910-112
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham93241316-311
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
15Leicester CityLeicester92341317-49
16Everton92341016-69
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich9045920-114
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132
20Southampton9018619-131


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