Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aston Villa.