Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 55.93%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
55.93% ( 0.21) | 23.16% ( -0.04) | 20.91% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.59% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.75% ( -0.01) | 47.25% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.52% ( -0.01) | 69.48% ( 0.01) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.28% ( 0.07) | 16.72% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.38% ( 0.13) | 46.62% ( -0.13) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.15% ( -0.18) | 36.85% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.36% ( -0.17) | 73.63% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 55.92% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 20.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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