Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 20, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Craven Cottage
Fulham3 - 0Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-2 Chelsea
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Sunday, October 16 at 2pm in Premier League
We said: Fulham 2-1 Aston Villa
While there is an element of pressure on both teams to win considering their recent dips in form, Gerrard and co will be aware that a defeat on Thursday could see them slip into the bottom three if other results were to go against them. Fulham have impressed on home soil so far this term and with Mitrovic back fit and firing, we can see the hosts coming away with maximum points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 36.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fulham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fulham | Draw | Aston Villa |
37.59% ( -0.13) | 25.72% ( 0.05) | 36.69% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.19% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
