Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-0 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | West Ham United |
28.7% ( -0.2) | 26.7% ( -0.07) | 44.6% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.98% ( 0.18) | 55.01% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.72% ( 0.15) | 76.28% ( -0.14) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.72% ( -0.06) | 34.28% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.02% ( -0.06) | 70.98% ( 0.06) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.45% ( 0.21) | 24.54% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% ( 0.29) | 59.02% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | West Ham United |
1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.89% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.5% Total : 44.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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