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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
Casa Pia

Braga
4 - 3
Casa Pia

Djalo (20'), Ruiz (65', 89'), Zalazar (67')
Oliveira (62'), Djalo (77'), Bruma (90+3'), Bruma (96+2')
Alexandre Chalo (42'), Djalo (75'), Djalo (81')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Soma (36'), Lelo (44'), Oliveira (72' og.)
Soma (41'), Tchamba (83'), Cardoso (93+3'), Lameiras (97+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Braga
Saturday, April 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 3-1 Chaves
Saturday, April 27 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Braga 2-0 Casa Pia

Braga know that they need to avoid any slip-ups in their final three games of the season as they look to secure a spot in Europe. Given the stakes of Sunday's game, we anticipate Jorge's side will go all out and secure maximum points in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 3-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.59%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
BragaDrawCasa Pia
72.78% (-0.578 -0.58) 16.26% (0.301 0.3) 10.95% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 52.6% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.59% (-0.68000000000001 -0.68)35.41% (0.67899999999999 0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.55% (-0.759 -0.76)57.45% (0.759 0.76)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.56% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)8.44% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.69% (-0.726 -0.73)29.31% (0.725 0.72)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.46% (0.027000000000001 0.03)42.54% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.1% (0.021999999999998 0.02)78.9% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Braga 72.78%
    Casa Pia 10.96%
    Draw 16.26%
BragaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 9.04% (-0.071 -0.07)
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 7.73% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.59% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 4.78% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.76% (-0.101 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.14% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 72.78%
1-1 @ 7.59% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.01% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.59% (0.121 0.12)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 16.26%
1-2 @ 3.24% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.07% (0.106 0.11)
0-2 @ 1.31% (0.047 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 10.96%

How you voted: Braga vs Casa Pia

Braga
96.0%
Draw
0.0%
Casa Pia
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Casa Pia
1-3
Braga
Clayton (74' pen.)
Mukendi (90+6')
Moutinho (51'), Banza (77'), Zalazar (88')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Group Stage
Braga
1-1
Casa Pia
Pizzi (62')
Oliveira (74')
Clayton (76' pen.)
Paes (43'), Roberto (90+1')
Apr 21, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 29
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Horta (54')
Dec 3, 2022 5pm
Group Stage
Casa Pia
0-1
Braga
Oliveira (22')
Nov 6, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 12
Braga
0-1
Casa Pia
Martins (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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