Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Maritimo |
51% ( 0.01) | 26% ( 0.03) | 23% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.87% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.81% ( -0.14) | 56.19% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.75% ( -0.11) | 77.24% ( 0.11) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.9% ( -0.05) | 22.1% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.54% ( -0.08) | 55.46% ( 0.08) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.16% ( -0.12) | 39.83% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% ( -0.11) | 76.5% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.99% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.72% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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