Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes5 - 0Chaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Moncarapachense 1-3 Guimaraes
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Canelas 2010 0-0 Chaves (5-3 pen.)
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, October 22 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Chaves
Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will fancy their chances against a Chaves side whose form on the road is currently nothing to write home about. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we are backing Pacheco's men to come away with all three points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Chaves |
44.91% ( -0.07) | 27.2% ( -0.03) | 27.89% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
