Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.73%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
43.73% ( -1.77) | 27.26% ( 0.54) | 29.01% ( 1.23) |
Both teams to score 48.14% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.04% ( -1.42) | 56.95% ( 1.42) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.14% ( -1.15) | 77.86% ( 1.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.14% ( -1.52) | 25.86% ( 1.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.17% ( -2.1) | 60.83% ( 2.1) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% ( 0.2) | 35.07% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% ( 0.21) | 71.81% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.73% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |