Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
53.44% (![]() | 24.16% (![]() | 22.4% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.31% (![]() | 49.68% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.3% (![]() | 71.7% (![]() |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% (![]() | 18.52% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.24% (![]() | 49.75% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.23% (![]() | 36.76% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.45% (![]() | 73.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 11.48% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.44% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.3% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.48% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.81% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.91% ( ![]() Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 6.81% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 1.75% Total : 22.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |