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Dundee United
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tannadice Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee Utd
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


McMann (30'), Ayina (35')
Ayina (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (55')
Stokes (52'), Lyons (56'), Doidge (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Dundee United and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee United

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Scottish Cup
Last Game: Livingston 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee United 1-0 Kilmarnock

 Only three points separates these two teams in the Scottish Premiership, which suggests there is not much to split the sides in this cup clash. However, Kilmarnock's abysmal form away from home this term makes us think Dundee United will edge this contest and seal their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
34.69% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 25.19% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.12% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.75% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.041 0.04)69.01% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.13% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.064999999999998 0.06)56.99% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 34.69%
    Kilmarnock 40.12%
    Draw 25.18%
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.69%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock

Dundee United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Kilmarnock
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Kilmarnock
1-0
Dundee Utd
Armstrong (35')
Armstrong (23')

Middleton (45+1'), Sibbald (90+2'), Graham (90+1')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Dundee Utd
4-0
Kilmarnock
Freeman (11'), McGrath (23'), Middleton (29'), Levitt (73')

Donnelly (66')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
rhs 2.0
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