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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Pulisic (6'), Giroud (20'), Leao (57')
Chukwueze (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Blin (34')
Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-2 AC Milan
Saturday, March 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 0-0 Roma
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce

 Milan have lost just one of their last 24 matches against Lecce in Serie A - and not at all for nearly two decades - while the Salentini are one of the weakest away sides in Italy's top flight. Even with an eye on their big continental contest next week, the hosts should be able to take care of business without too much fuss. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawLecce
66.59% (0.25399999999999 0.25) 20.2% (-0.099 -0.1) 13.21% (-0.157 -0.16)
Both teams to score 46.11% (-0.119 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.074000000000005 0.07)47.7% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1% (0.066000000000003 0.07)69.9% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.57% (0.099000000000004 0.1)13.43% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.61% (0.198 0.2)40.39% (-0.2 -0.2)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.26% (-0.2 -0.2)46.74% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.71% (-0.151 -0.15)82.29% (0.149 0.15)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.58%
    Lecce 13.21%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 12.65% (0.06 0.06)
1-0 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.25% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.23% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.71% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 66.58%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Lecce

AC Milan
91.4%
Draw
6.7%
Lecce
1.9%
105
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Sansone (66'), Banda (70')
Ramadani (45'), Espeto (62'), Piccoli (85'), Gonzalez (90+2')
Giroud (28'), Reijnders (35')
Hernandez (44'), Musah (80'), Calabria (80'), Florenzi (90'), Giroud (90+3'), Krunic (90+5')
Giroud (90+3')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 31
AC Milan
2-0
Lecce
Leao (40', 74')
> Preview
Jan 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 18
Lecce
2-2
AC Milan
Hernandez (3' og.), Baschirotto (23')
Leao (58'), Calabria (70')
> Preview
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Lecce
1-4
AC Milan
> Preview
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
AC Milan
2-2
Lecce
Calhanoglu (20'), Piatek (81')
Biglia (85')
Babacar (62'), Calderoni (92')
Majer (44'), Rossettini (76')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715
> Serie A Full Table


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