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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lecce logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Lecce

Cheddira (45+2')
Di Francesco (4'), Jesus (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerofolini (61' og.)
Almqvist (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-0 Lecce

Frosinone have lost four of their last five on home turf, but Lecce are winless on their travels this season, losing eight of 13 road matches, thus making Sunday's game tricky to predict. However, the home side's six wins from 13 games at Stadio Benito Stirpe mean they have a higher chance than Lecce of claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLecce
43.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 25.92% (-0.288 -0.29) 30.52% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 52.96% (1.027 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (1.272 1.27)51.12% (-1.274 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (1.106 1.11)72.97% (-1.108 -1.11)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.571 0.57)23.34% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.826 0.83)57.3% (-0.828 -0.83)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)30.91% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.964 0.96)67.2% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 43.56%
    Lecce 30.52%
    Draw 25.91%
FrosinoneDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lecce

Frosinone
54.2%
Draw
28.8%
Lecce
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Frosinone
Piccoli (11'), Ramadani (89')
D'Aversa (17'), Blin (73')
Jorge (33' pen.)
Okoli (24'), Ibrahimovic (38'), Barrenechea (43'), Romagnoli (90+5')
Apr 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Frosinone
Coda (40')
Calabresi (54'), Blin (57'), Gallo (89'), Asencio (90+3')

Leon Barisic (18'), Ricci (24'), Gatti (30'), Ciano (71'), Cotali (72')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Lecce
Ricci (45'), Lulic (53'), Manzari (86'), Maiello (90')
Hjulmand (34'), Dermaku (76')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Frosinone
0-3
Lecce

Vitale (42'), Kastanos (55')
Coda (53', 69'), Rodriguez (85')
Majer (65')
Dec 12, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Frosinone
Adjapong (44'), Mancosu (60')
Adjapong (14'), Meccariello (51'), Listkowski (82'), Tachtsidis (90+4')
Parzyszek (15' pen.), Novakovich (89')
Kastanos (58'), Novakovich (88'), Curado (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma33177959392058
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3387182648-2231
18Udinese33416133150-1928
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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