Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 69.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
69.07% ( 0.01) | 18.23% ( -0) | 12.7% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.87% ( -0.01) | 40.13% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.5% ( -0.01) | 62.5% ( 0.01) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% ( -0) | 10.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.74% ( 0) | 34.26% ( -0) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.24% ( -0.01) | 42.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.91% ( -0.01) | 79.09% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 11.4% 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.27% 4-0 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.09% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 4.28% Total : 69.06% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.23% | 0-1 @ 3.83% 1-2 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 12.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |