Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 66.51%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 14.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
66.51% | 18.71% | 14.77% |
Both teams to score 55.47% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.51% | 37.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.28% | 59.72% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.54% | 10.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.94% | 34.06% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.94% | 38.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.18% | 74.82% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Spezia |
2-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.8% 1-0 @ 8.99% 3-0 @ 7.64% 3-1 @ 7.38% 4-0 @ 4.31% 4-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.78% Total : 66.51% | 1-1 @ 8.68% 2-2 @ 4.73% 0-0 @ 3.98% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.71% | 1-2 @ 4.19% 0-1 @ 3.84% 0-2 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.53% 1-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.01% Total : 14.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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