Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Sampdoria |
50.97% ( 0.02) | 25.84% ( -0.01) | 23.19% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 47.52% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.56% ( 0.04) | 55.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.37% ( 0.03) | 76.63% ( -0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.2% ( 0.02) | 21.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.99% ( 0.04) | 55.01% ( -0.03) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.77% ( 0.01) | 39.23% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.06% ( 0.01) | 75.94% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.92% 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.96% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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