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Serie A
Sampdoria logo
Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Spezia Calcio logo

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Spezia

Amione (23')
Gunter (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Verde (59')
Bastoni (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Lazio
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-0 Spezia

 Both among the lowest scorers in Serie A this season, Saturday's derby could go to the wire - particularly as Sampdoria and Spezia are among the three sides that have conceded the most goals during the second half. A lapse in concentration rather than a moment of glory may see the points' destiny decided, and Samp can finally give their long-suffering fans something to cheer about. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
40.91% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.69% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 32.41% (0.14 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.62% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)75.12% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.2% (-0.079000000000008 -0.08)25.8% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.11 -0.11)60.76% (0.112 0.11)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.12% (0.091999999999999 0.09)30.88% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.83% (0.106 0.11)67.16% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 40.9%
    Spezia 32.41%
    Draw 26.68%
SampdoriaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.9%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.41%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Spezia

Sampdoria
53.3%
Draw
31.7%
Spezia
15.0%
60
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 5pm
gameweek 7
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Murillo (12' og.), N'Zola (72')
Sabiri (11')
Ferrari (23')
Jan 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 23
Spezia
1-0
Sampdoria
Verde (69')
Erlic (30'), Verde (71')

Thorsby (37'), Ekdal (47'), Rincon (52')
Ekdal (73')
Oct 22, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 9
Sampdoria
2-1
Spezia
Gyasi (15' og.), Candreva (36')
Bereszynski (44'), Colley (45+2'), Candreva (57')
Verde (90+5')
Hristov (14')
May 12, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 36
Sampdoria
2-2
Spezia
Verre (32'), Balde (80')
Verre (66'), Ekdal (89')
Pobega (15', 73')
Maggiore (34'), Farias (88')
Jan 11, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Spezia
2-1
Sampdoria
Terzi (20'), N'Zola (60' pen.)
Farias (37'), Gyasi (90+2'), Marchizza (90+4'), Agudelo (90+5')
Candreva (24')
Yoshida (34'), Bereszynski (56'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan35285281196289
2AC Milan35218667422571
3Juventus351812548272166
4Bologna351713549272264
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio35175134537856
8Napoli351312105344951
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino351114103131047
11Monza351112123846-845
12Genoa351013124143-243
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona35810173346-1334
15CagliariCagliari35712163760-2333
16FrosinoneFrosinone35711174363-2032
17Empoli3588192650-2432
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3578204170-2929
RSalernitana3529242775-4815
> Serie A Full Table


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