Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
35.77% | 28.03% | 36.21% |
Both teams to score 47.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.65% | 58.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.04% | 78.96% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.94% | 31.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.62% | 67.38% |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% | 30.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% | 67.05% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Salernitana |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 7.7% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.56% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 11.26% 1-2 @ 7.76% 0-2 @ 6.64% 1-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |