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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Salernitana

Spezia
1 - 1
Salernitana

FT(HT: 0-1)
Caldara (43' og.)
Coulibaly (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Spezia
Friday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 2-2 Bologna
Saturday, March 18 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 0-1 Salernitana

Without Nzola, it is hard to find a reliable source of goals in the Spezia squad, and that could be costly in this vital encounter. Salernitana have plenty of talent in attack as well as Dia, with the likes of Antonio Candreva and Krzysztof Piatek also available, and that could be what gives them the edge in this clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 36.21%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
35.77%28.03%36.21%
Both teams to score 47.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.65%58.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.04%78.96%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94%31.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62%67.38%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 35.76%
    Salernitana 36.21%
    Draw 28.02%
SpeziaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 7.7%
2-0 @ 6.54%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 35.76%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.56%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 7.76%
0-2 @ 6.64%
1-3 @ 3.05%
0-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 36.21%

How you voted: Spezia vs Salernitana

Spezia
33.3%
Draw
26.7%
Salernitana
40.0%
30
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2pm
Feb 7, 2022 7.45pm
Salernitana
2-2
Spezia
Verdi (3', 16')
Mousset (30'), Fazio (53'), Radovanovic (90+1')
Manaj (12' pen.), Verde (30' pen.)
Amian (15'), Kiwior (88'), Nguiamba (90+4')
Oct 16, 2021 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Strelec (51'), Kovalenko (76')
Gyasi (62'), Manaj (90')
Simy (39')
Obi (53'), Coulibaly (60'), Ranieri (80')
Jul 31, 2020 8pm
Salernitana
1-2
Spezia
Gondo (30')
Di Tacchio (21'), Maistro (35'), Migliorini (59')
Maistro (62')
Mora (45+1'), N'Zola (90')
Maggiore (50'), Desjardins (90+5')
Dec 29, 2019 2pm
Spezia
2-1
Salernitana
Ragusa (5'), Gyasi (83')
Terzi (36'), Mastinu (68'), Maggiore (80')
Jallow (85')
Kiyine (28'), Billong (31'), Di Tacchio (89'), Karo (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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