MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:44:44| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 1, 2023 at 9pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 0
La Luz

De Los Santos (4'), Duarte (50'), Pintado (65')
Boselli (6'), Freitas (19'), de los Santos (60'), Balboa (68'), Rocha (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Viera (40'), Castillo (54'), Scorza (85')
Viera (45+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 1-1 Defensor
Saturday, June 24 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 0-2 Danubio
Friday, June 23 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 50.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 23.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawLa Luz
50.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.2% (0.012 0.01) 23.38% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 46.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)56.6% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)77.58% (0.036999999999992 0.04)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)22.53% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)56.1% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)39.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.62% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)76.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 50.42%
    La Luz 23.38%
    Draw 26.2%
Defensor SportingDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 13.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.94% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.42%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 8.94% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.38%

Head to Head
Feb 19, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 3
Defensor
1-0
La Luz
Cambon (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1PenarolPenarol96211731420
2NacionalNacional96211981120
3Boston RiverBoston River9612139419
4DanubioDanubio9441104616
5Racing de MontevideoRacing935197214
6Rampla JuniorsRampla94231010014
7FenixFenix94141012-213
8Miramar Misiones9342810-213
9Defensor SportingDefensor93331211112
10Montevideo WanderersWanderers93241112-111
11River PlateRiver Plate93241116-511
12Cerro Largo923457-29
13CerroCerro9234814-69
14LiverpoolLiverpool9144710-37
15ProgresoProgreso9135410-66
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado9018415-111
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!