Qatar

8 - 1

Afghanistan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Afghanistan had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Afghanistan win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 8-1 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.