Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Dynamo Dresden win it was 0-1 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arminia Bielefeld would win this match.