Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest FC Ingolstadt 04 win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Dresden would win this match.