Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.