Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.