Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 20.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.