Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Wehen Wiesbaden had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Wehen Wiesbaden win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.