Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.