Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.