Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.