Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.76%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magdeburg would win this match.