Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 42.87%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
