Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.