Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.