Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between NAC Breda and MVV Maastricht.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Telstar 2-1 NAC Breda
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Almere City 1-0 MVV
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, May 19 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Goals
for
for
65
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 62.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 17.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
62.5% ( -0.23) | 19.66% ( 0.1) | 17.84% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.21% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
