Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
