Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for KTP had a probability of 26% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.