Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.