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Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 5
Oct 21, 2023 at 1pm UK
Lahden Stadion

Lahti
1 - 5
Ilves

Huovila (20')
Puukko (45'), Hertsi (74'), El Moukhantir (85')
Puukko (71')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Haarala (31', 44'), Jukkola (41'), Parfitt-Williams (72'), Ala-Myllymaki (86')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Lahti and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mariehamn 0-0 Lahti
Sunday, October 8 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 3-2 Oulu
Friday, October 6 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
LahtiDrawIlves
30.47% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 25.69% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 43.84% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.66% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (0.019000000000005 0.02)50.19% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (0.017999999999997 0.02)72.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Lahti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (0.034999999999997 0.03)30.47% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.31% (0.042000000000002 0.04)66.68% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.18% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)22.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.47% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)56.53% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lahti 30.47%
    Ilves 43.83%
    Draw 25.68%
LahtiDrawIlves
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 7.25% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 30.47%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.02% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.64% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.83%

Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 22
Lahti
3-2
Ilves
El Moukhantir (58', 67'), Djalo (63')
Sadik (86')
Parfitt-Williams (14'), Traore (84')
Jorginho (61'), N'Diaye (61')
Jun 3, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 10
Ilves
2-2
Lahti
Miettunen (11'), Larsson (42')
Haarala (22'), Ngor (90+3')
Alves (54' pen.), Pirttijoki (62')
Kuningas (23'), Zeqiri (55'), Sadik (76'), Kabashi (90+3')
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Ilves
1-0
Lahti
Ngueukam (43')
Jul 29, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 16
Lahti
1-1
Ilves
Penninkangas (79')
Virta (80'), Emsis (87')
Meriluoto (11')
Maenpaa (32'), Ngueukam (74'), Larsson (90+5')
Jun 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 11
Ilves
3-2
Lahti
Pennanen (8', 90+6'), Ollila (72')
Vidjeskog (26'), Almen (36')
Kallio (90+9')
Klinga (29'), Kandji (90+2' pen.)
Penninkangas (51'), Virta (57')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1KuPSKuPS540146242256
2IlvesIlves550056272954
3HJK Helsinki502344271745
4SJKSJK51134644240
5Vaasan PalloseuraVPS52124345-239
6HakaHaka51044043-338
Relegation Round
1Inter Turku531146341241
2Gnistan52124043-337
3Oulu52123240-828
4IFK MariehamnMariehamn52032744-1726
5LahtiLahti51223147-1624
6Ekenas IFEIF51312457-3319
 
Regular Season
1KuPSKuPS22135439221744
2HJK Helsinki22134541212043
3IlvesIlves22116545252039
4SJKSJK2210664033736
5HakaHaka2210573532335
6Vaasan PalloseuraVPS229583436-232
7Inter Turku229493829931
8Gnistan228683234-230
9Oulu2256112636-1021
10IFK MariehamnMariehamn2255122038-1820
11LahtiLahti2231092638-1219
12Ekenas IFEIF2234151951-3213


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