Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.