Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 16.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Adelaide United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Adelaide United.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
61.15% ( -0.72) | 21.93% ( 0.36) | 16.92% ( 0.36) |
Both teams to score 49.52% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% ( -0.88) | 47.82% ( 0.88) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.99% ( -0.82) | 70% ( 0.82) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.85% ( -0.52) | 15.15% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.26% ( -0.99) | 43.74% ( 0.99) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.37% ( -0.08) | 41.63% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.88% ( -0.07) | 78.11% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Perth Glory |
1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.31% Total : 61.15% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.93% | 0-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 16.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 9 |
5 | Auckland FC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
8 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
9 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -14 | 1 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 0 |
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