Australian A-League | Gameweek 13

Mar 20, 2021 at 6.05am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
2 - 1
Western Utd

Derbyshire (35'), Susaeta (45+1')
Genreau (88'), Etxebarria (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pierias (8')
Duzel (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Western United had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Macarthur in this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Western United
39.56%	23.43%	37.01%

Both teams to score 63.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.94%

38.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.68%

60.32%

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37%

19.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.42%

51.58%

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.16%

20.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.48%

53.52%

Score Analysis

Macarthur 39.56%

Western United 37.01%

Draw 23.43%

Macarthur	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 8.5% 1-0 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 5.42% 3-1 @ 4.62% 3-2 @ 3.62% 3-0 @ 2.94% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.25% Total : 39.56%	1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 6.67% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.43%	1-2 @ 8.19% 0-1 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 4.28% 2-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.9% Total : 37.01%