Australian A-League
Gameweek
15
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-
Jamie MacLaren
3'
-
Richard van der Venne
33'
-
Richard van der Venne
43'
-
Andrew Nabbout
68'
-
Richard van der Venne
77'
-
Jamie MacLaren
88'
-
Moudi Najjar
72'
Melbourne City vs Macarthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Macarthur had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Macarthur win it was 1-2 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result
Melbourne City
71.6%
▲
(+0.39)
Draw
16.44%
▼
(-0.21)
Macarthur
11.96%
▼
(-0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
55.62%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.67%
▲
(+0.52)
Under 2.5
33.32%
▼
(-0.52)
Over 3.5
44.9%
▲
(+0.60)
Under 3.5
55.1%
▼
(-0.60)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5
91.81%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 0.5
8.19%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
71.32%
▲
(+0.53)
Under 1.5
28.67%
▼
(-0.53)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5
60.58%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
39.41%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 1.5
23.89%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
76.11%
▼
(-0.07)
Score analysis
Melbourne City
71.59%
Draw
16.44%
Macarthur
11.96%
Melbourne City
2-0
@
10.1%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.88)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 71.59%
2-1 @ 9.41% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.07% ▼ (-0.14)
3-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.05)
4-0 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.04)
6-0 @ 1.1% ▲ (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.03% ▼ (-97.88)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 71.59%
Draw
1-1
@
7.52%
▼
(-0.12)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.44%
2-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▼ (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 16.44%
Macarthur
1-2
@
3.5%
▼
(-0.05)
0-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 11.96%
0-1 @ 3% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 11.96%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
-
Apostolis Giannou
41'
-
Ulises Davila
84'
-
Jordan Bos
31'
-
Kerrin Stokes
38'
-
Curtis Good
45'+1'
-
Jamie MacLaren
64'
-
Aiden O'Neill
89'
-
Taras Gomulka
90'+1'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Carl Jenkinson
23'
-
Adrian Mariappa
28'
-
Florin Berenguer
44'
-
Jamie MacLaren
54'
-
Apostolis Giannou
15'
-
Adrian Mariappa
36'
-
Aleksandar Susnjar
81'
Australian A-League
-
Florin Berenguer
30'
-
Stefan Colakovski
54'
-
Marco Tilio
55'
-
Aiden O'Neill
84'
-
Ben Garuccio
87'
-
Charles M'Mombwa
59'
-
Aleksandar Susnjar
90'+4'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
7
-
Michael Ruhs
77'
-
Aleksandar Susnjar
84'
-
Connor Metcalfe
59'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Craig Noone
20'
-
Jamie MacLaren
23'
-
Jamie MacLaren
25'
-
Craig Noone
35'
-
Florin Berenguer
61'
-
Scott Jamieson
81'