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Brisbane Roar
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Jan 21, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Suncorp Stadium
Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
0 - 0
Melbourne City


Zabala (6'), O'Shea (45+2')
FT

O'Neill (47'), Leckie (80'), van der Venne (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, January 14 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 1-1 Melbourne City
Sunday, January 15 at 4am in Australian A-League

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar heads into this match as the underdogs, and that is something that is due to the league positioning of the two teams. The visitors will be confident that they can keep themselves at the top of the league table, and that is likely going to be the case with a routine win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
17.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 21.03% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 61.88%
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)43.63% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.97% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)66.02% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.08% (-0.073 -0.07)38.91% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.35% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)75.64% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.43% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)13.56% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.35% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)40.65% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 17.09%
    Melbourne City 61.87%
    Draw 21.03%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne City
1-0 @ 4.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.35%
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 17.09%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.03%
0-1 @ 10.54% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 10.53% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 7.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 3.31% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.56% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 61.87%

How you voted: Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne City

Brisbane Roar
15.8%
Draw
10.5%
Melbourne City
73.7%
19
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2022 9.45am
Mar 23, 2022 8.35am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Melbourne City
Hore (9')
Aldred (90+1')
Trewin (14' og.), Borges Rodrigues (49')
Berenguer (67'), Hall (90+4')
Nov 19, 2021 8.45am
May 25, 2021 10.05am
Brisbane Roar
3-0
Melbourne City
O'Shea (6' pen., 52' pen.), Parsons (38')
Akbari (34'), Wenzel-Halls (36')

Mills (51'), Reis (61'), Berenguer (69')
May 9, 2021 7.05am
Melbourne City
3-2
Brisbane Roar
Metcalfe (14'), Trewin (17' og.), Galloway (73')
Reis (46'), Galloway (49'), Nabbout (86'), O'Neill (87')
Champness (28'), Gillesphey (38')
Daley (32')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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