Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 61.88%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Brisbane Roar win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
17.09% ( -0.02) | 21.03% ( 0.01) | 61.88% |
Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.36% ( -0.09) | 43.63% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.97% ( -0.09) | 66.02% ( 0.08) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.08% ( -0.07) | 38.91% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.35% ( -0.07) | 75.64% ( 0.06) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.43% ( -0.03) | 13.56% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.35% ( -0.06) | 40.65% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Melbourne City |
1-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.35% 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.51% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.4% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 61.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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