Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.92%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
41.24% ( -0.12) | 24.28% ( -0.12) | 34.48% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 60% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.39% ( 0.65) | 42.61% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( 0.64) | 65.01% ( -0.64) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.21% ( 0.22) | 20.8% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.55% ( 0.35) | 53.45% ( -0.35) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.75% ( 0.44) | 24.25% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.39% ( 0.62) | 58.61% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 41.24% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
4 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 9 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
7 | Macarthur | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 7 |
8 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 3 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18 | -14 | 2 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 1 |
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