Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 23.28% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result | ||
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
53.75% ( -0.02) | 22.97% ( 0.01) | 23.28% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.45% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.32% ( -0.01) | 43.68% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.93% ( -0.01) | 66.07% ( 0.01) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( -0.01) | 16.21% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.31% ( -0.02) | 45.7% ( 0.02) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.37% | 32.63% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.82% | 69.18% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Adelaide United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.96% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 23.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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