Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 44.18% | 24.8% | 31.03% |
| Both teams to score 56.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.88% | 46.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.58% | 68.42% |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% | 20.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.33% | 53.68% |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.29% | 63.71% |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Western United |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 9.13% 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.66% Total : 44.18% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 5.87% 2-2 @ 5.8% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.8% | 0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 7.42% 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.78% Total : 31.03% |