Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 10.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.71%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
